Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.155550 0.180605 0.208442 0.241672 0.280277 0.323737 0.376409
2025-04-13 0.115030 0.148018 0.188605 0.242264 0.311437 0.397750 0.513872
2025-04-20 0.097394 0.134522 0.183532 0.253068 0.349409 0.478524 0.665328
2025-04-27 0.084872 0.124181 0.179129 0.261713 0.383073 0.555509 0.820319
2025-05-04 0.075199 0.115645 0.175052 0.268907 0.414055 0.631024 0.981962
2025-05-11 0.066366 0.106690 0.168589 0.270835 0.436343 0.695230 1.133889
2025-05-18 0.058318 0.097608 0.160385 0.268377 0.450606 0.747693 1.272906
2025-05-25 0.050629 0.087939 0.149794 0.260251 0.453926 0.781966 1.385111
2025-06-01 0.046793 0.084169 0.148330 0.267024 0.482828 0.861810 1.585023
2025-06-08 0.042578 0.079140 0.143986 0.267989 0.501257 0.925067 1.762634
2025-06-15 0.039479 0.075700 0.141964 0.272739 0.526853 1.003721 1.978138
2025-06-22 0.035426 0.069949 0.134981 0.267201 0.532106 1.044658 2.125580
2025-06-29 0.032117 0.065308 0.129688 0.264550 0.543180 1.099108 2.309337
2025-07-06 0.029533 0.061803 0.126213 0.265135 0.560916 1.169086 2.534906
2025-07-13 0.028370 0.061051 0.128127 0.276974 0.603324 1.294339 2.894151
2025-07-20 0.027067 0.059832 0.128907 0.286447 0.641748 1.415648 3.260685
2025-07-27 0.025730 0.058369 0.128978 0.294330 0.677560 1.535422 3.639497
2025-08-03 0.024048 0.055927 0.126623 0.296442 0.700490 1.629056 3.969669
2025-08-10 0.022174 0.052818 0.122418 0.293749 0.711835 1.697357 4.247979
2025-08-17 0.020065 0.048904 0.115927 0.284845 0.707199 1.727397 4.435780
2025-08-24 0.019212 0.047913 0.116161 0.292267 0.743447 1.860250 4.901626
2025-08-31 0.018038 0.045992 0.113947 0.293324 0.763808 1.956197 5.284334
2025-09-07 0.017196 0.044806 0.113396 0.298529 0.795444 2.084359 5.770064